Bills vs Jets

Upcoming Game

NYJ
Jets New York Jets
VS
Sunday, January 4, 2026 5:00 AM ET
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
BUF
Bills Buffalo Bills

Gridiron Duels Prediction

Point Spread Bills -3 to -8
Moneyline Bills -270 to -140
Total (O/U) 41 to 48
Editorial ranges from Gridiron Duels. Not sportsbook odds.

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Betting Odds

Line: BUF -9.7

Matchup Preview

Updated 1 week ago
Recent meetings lean toward Buffalo while both franchises maintain similar pedigree and still stand as established clubs within the league. New York arrives with a downturn and Buffalo brings clearer recent form and steadier game finishing. The venue offers no real edge and past meetings point to a moderate scoring pace overall. Both teams show flat trends on offense and defense, so execution matters more than schematic novelty. Early down efficiency, red zone finish, and turnover avoidance will likely decide which side controls the second half.
This lean is a trend based view using recent form, franchise pedigree, and meeting history. It is not a live betting line and does not reflect market moves.

Edge Meter

Offense 7/10

Buffalo's upward recent form suggests cleaner offensive execution, while New York's offense shows a downturn and flat season trend.

Defense 6/10

Recent defensive play tilts toward Buffalo, though both defenses show flat underlying trends and similar franchise pedigree.

Special Teams 5/10

No clear gap in the kicking and return phases, so special teams should not swing the game by themselves.

Coaching 6/10

Coaching gets a small lean for Buffalo based on recent finishes, but franchise pedigree and schemes remain balanced.

Key Mismatches

  • Recent form versus pedigree
    Buffalo arrives hot while both franchises share medium pedigree, creating a gap between short term performance and long term baseline.
  • Neutral home environment
    With no clear home edge, standard home field advantages are muted and situational edges gain outsized importance.
  • Moderate scoring expectation
    Head to head history points to a moderate scoring game, so single drives and red zone work matter more to the outcome.

Trend Callouts

Buffalo holds the recent series edge over New York in their meetings Both clubs show flat trends on offense and defense heading into the matchup Head to head history suggests a moderate scoring profile rather than a shootout

Head-to-Head Record (All Time)

NYJ
Jets
54
Wins
0
Ties
BUF
Bills
68
Wins

Average Scores

Bills vs Jets

Jets 20 PPG
Bills 21.5 PPG

Home Field Advantage

Bills vs Jets

Jets at Home 30-31
49% Win Rate
Bills at Home 37-24
61% Win Rate

Highest Scoring Game

Bills vs Jets

78 Total Points
Oct 07, 2001
Jets 42 - 36 Bills

Last Meeting

Bills vs Jets

Dec 29, 2024
Jets 14 - 40 Bills
Bills Won

Recent Meetings (Last 5)

Dec 29, 2024
BUF W
Jets 14
@
Bills 40
Oct 14, 2024
BUF W
Jets 20
@
Bills 23
Nov 19, 2023
BUF W
Jets 6
@
Bills 32
Sep 11, 2023
NYJ W
Jets 22
@
Bills 16
Dec 11, 2022
BUF W
Jets 12
@
Bills 20

Upcoming Games for Jets

Sep 21, 2025
@ Buccaneers
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
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Sep 29, 2025
@ Dolphins
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
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Oct 05, 2025
vs Cowboys
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
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Upcoming Games for Bills

Sep 28, 2025
vs Saints
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
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Oct 06, 2025
vs Patriots
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
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Oct 13, 2025
@ Falcons
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
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Historical Performance (All-Time Stats)

NYJ

Jets

All-time performance

ALL-TIME WIN % 65 Seasons
43%
433-559-8
PLAYOFF SEASONS 65 total
14
22% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS Last: 1968
1
1968
RECENT FORM Last 5 years
30%
25-59-0
BUF

Bills

All-time performance

ALL-TIME WIN % 65 Seasons
49%
486-505-8
PLAYOFF SEASONS 65 total
24
37% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS Last: 1965
2
1964, 1965
RECENT FORM Last 5 years
74%
61-22-0
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