Commanders vs Falcons

Upcoming Game

WSH
Commanders Washington Commanders
VS
Sunday, September 28, 2025 5:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
ATL
Falcons Atlanta Falcons

Gridiron Duels Prediction

Point Spread Commanders -3 to -9
Moneyline Commanders -300 to -140
Total (O/U) 37 to 46
Editorial ranges from Gridiron Duels. Not sportsbook odds.

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Betting Odds

Line: WSH -3.7

O/U: 48.8

Matchup Preview

Updated 6 hours ago
Recent meetings lean Washington Commanders, while Atlanta Falcons bring lower long term franchise pedigree into the game. The Falcons host, but historical matchups and the venue balance point to Washington having the edge. Head to head scoring has been moderate, so expect a middle tempo affair with scoring checks. Both teams arrive in flat recent form, so short term results do not separate them cleanly. Execution on early downs, red zone conversion, and avoiding one big mistake will swing the outcome toward Washington.
This preview is derived only from the supplied categorical trends and does not use live injury, depth chart, or market data.

Edge Meter

Offense 7/10

Higher franchise pedigree and head to head tilt give Washington a clearer offensive baseline.

Defense 6/10

Washington's recent series advantage and sustained franchise quality suggest defensive steadiness.

Special Teams 5/10

No clear advantage in trends for kicking or return game from the supplied facts.

Coaching 8/10

Longer term organizational success and a multi year elite stretch point to coaching stability.

Key Mismatches

  • Franchise pedigree versus recent form
    Commanders carry high long term pedigree while both teams show flat recent form, creating a gap in baseline quality.
  • Home venue paradox
    Falcons host but historical head to head and home edge favor Washington, flipping the usual home advantage.
  • Scoring profile consistency
    Head to head scoring is moderate, yet both teams' flat offensive trends make volume and efficiency key swing elements.

Trend Callouts

Both teams enter with flat recent form, so short term trends offer little separation. Washington has higher franchise pedigree and brings a sustained winning baseline. Head to head matchups show moderate scoring and an away team historical edge.

Head-to-Head Record (All Time)

ATL
Falcons
10
Wins
1
Ties
WSH
Commanders
18
Wins

Average Scores

Commanders vs Falcons

Falcons 20.7 PPG
Commanders 24.8 PPG

Home Field Advantage

Commanders vs Falcons

Falcons at Home 6-8
43% Win Rate
Commanders at Home 11-4
73% Win Rate

Highest Scoring Game

Commanders vs Falcons

73 Total Points
Nov 10, 1991
Falcons 17 - 56 Commanders

Last Meeting

Commanders vs Falcons

Dec 29, 2024
Falcons 24 - 30 Commanders
Commanders Won

Recent Meetings (Last 5)

Dec 29, 2024
WSH W
Falcons 24
@
Commanders 30
Oct 15, 2023
WSH W
Falcons 16
@
Commanders 24
Nov 27, 2022
WSH W
Falcons 13
@
Commanders 19
Oct 03, 2021
WSH W
Falcons 30
@
Commanders 34
Nov 04, 2018
ATL W
Falcons 38
@
Commanders 14

Upcoming Games for Falcons

Sep 28, 2025
vs Commanders
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
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Oct 13, 2025
vs Bills
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
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Oct 20, 2025
@ 49ers
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
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Upcoming Games for Commanders

Sep 28, 2025
@ Falcons
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
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Oct 05, 2025
@ Chargers
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
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Oct 14, 2025
vs Bears
Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
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Historical Performance (All-Time Stats)

ATL

Falcons

All-time performance

ALL-TIME WIN % 59 Seasons
43%
398-512-6
PLAYOFF SEASONS 59 total
14
24% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS
0
RECENT FORM Last 5 years
39%
33-51-0
WSH

Commanders

All-time performance

ALL-TIME WIN % 93 Seasons
49%
641-648-29
PLAYOFF SEASONS 93 total
26
28% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS Last: 1991
5
1937, 1942, 1982, 1987, 1991
RECENT FORM Last 5 years
45%
38-45-1