Dolphins vs Patriots
Upcoming Game
VS
Sunday, January 4, 2026
5:00 AM ET
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Gridiron Duels Prediction
- Point Spread
- Dolphins -1 to -7
- Moneyline
- Dolphins -320 to -120
- Total (O/U)
- 40 to 48
Editorial ranges from Gridiron Duels. Not sportsbook odds.
Gridiron Duels Prediction
Point Spread
Dolphins -1 to -7
Moneyline
Dolphins -320 to -120
Total (O/U)
40 to 48
Editorial ranges from Gridiron Duels. Not sportsbook odds.
Get Tickets
Betting Odds
Line: NE -2.7
Matchup Preview
Updated 1 month ago
Recent meetings favor the Miami Dolphins while the Patriots still carry higher franchise pedigree. The Dolphins show flat recent form while New England comes in with a down trend. With neutral home edge and a moderate scoring profile between these clubs, expect a controlled competitive game. Both teams show flat offense and defense, so execution on early downs and in short fields will matter. Because one franchise has multi year elite history and Miami has steadier recent form, lean toward Miami.
This preview relies only on the supplied categorical trends and does not represent actual betting lines or account for roster changes.
Edge Meter
Offense
6/10
Miami holds a cleaner recent offensive look in head to head play, and both offenses otherwise read as flat.
Defense
6/10
New England's deeper franchise pedigree and historical consistency suggest a steadier defensive base despite recent dips.
Special Teams
5/10
No clear special teams edge emerges from the supplied trends, and neutral venue reduces variance from kicks.
Coaching
6/10
Longer term organizational success points to a coaching and scheme advantage for New England, even with recent struggles.
Key Mismatches
-
Recent form versus franchise baselineMiami shows steadier recent results while New England brings a stronger long term pedigree, creating a clash of tempo and trust.
-
Flat identity on both sidesBoth teams report flat offensive and defensive trends, so small execution differences will have outsized impact on the outcome.
-
Neutral venue and scoring profileWith no home tilt and moderate scoring in their meetings, the game should hinge on red zone and early down efficiency.
Trend Callouts
Head to head recent direction favors Miami.
Scoring bucket in their matchup history reads moderate, implying a controlled pace.
One franchise shows multi year elite history while recent form contrasts between the teams.
Head-to-Head Record (All Time)
MIA
Dolphins
58
Wins
0
Ties
NE
Patriots
49
Wins
Average Scores
Dolphins vs Patriots
Dolphins
21.2 PPG
Patriots
21.4 PPG
Home Field Advantage
Dolphins vs Patriots
Dolphins at Home
39-14
74% Win Rate
Patriots at Home
35-19
65% Win Rate
Highest Scoring Game
Dolphins vs Patriots
77 Total Points
Oct 21, 2007
Dolphins 28 - 49 Patriots
Last Meeting
Dolphins vs Patriots
Nov 24, 2024
Patriots 15 - 34 Dolphins
Dolphins Won
Recent Meetings (Last 5)
Nov 24, 2024
MIA W
Dolphins 34
@
Patriots 15
Nov 24, 2024
Dolphins 34
@
Patriots 15
MIA W
Oct 06, 2024
MIA W
Dolphins 15
@
Patriots 10
Oct 06, 2024
Dolphins 15
@
Patriots 10
MIA W
Oct 29, 2023
MIA W
Dolphins 31
@
Patriots 17
Oct 29, 2023
Dolphins 31
@
Patriots 17
MIA W
Sep 17, 2023
MIA W
Dolphins 24
@
Patriots 17
Sep 17, 2023
Dolphins 24
@
Patriots 17
MIA W
Jan 01, 2023
NE W
Dolphins 21
@
Patriots 23
Jan 01, 2023
Dolphins 21
@
Patriots 23
NE W
Upcoming Games for Dolphins
Upcoming Games for Patriots
Historical Performance (All-Time Stats)
MIA
Dolphins
All-time performance
ALL-TIME WIN %
59 Seasons
55%
504-408-4
PLAYOFF SEASONS
59 total
25
42% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS
Last: 1973
2
1972, 1973
RECENT FORM
Last 5 years
56%
47-37-0
NE
Patriots
All-time performance
ALL-TIME WIN %
65 Seasons
55%
545-446-9
PLAYOFF SEASONS
65 total
28
43% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS
Last: 2018
6
2001, 2003, 2004, 2014, 2016, 2018
RECENT FORM
Last 5 years
39%
33-51-0