Bills vs Dolphins

Upcoming Game

BUF
Bills Buffalo Bills
VS
Sunday, November 9, 2025 6:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
MIA
Dolphins Miami Dolphins

Gridiron Duels Prediction

Point Spread Bills -2 to -5
Moneyline Bills -260 to -130
Total (O/U) 41 to 48
Editorial ranges from Gridiron Duels. Not sportsbook odds.

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Matchup Preview

Updated 1 week ago
Recent meetings lean Buffalo, while both franchises show similar long term pedigree and steady baseline performance. With no meaningful home tilt and a moderate scoring profile between them, expect a balanced game shape that rewards efficiency more than volume. Buffalo's recent uptick gives a modest edge on offense and in overall team form. Miami's flat trends and the matchup details mean execution, red zone finish, and error avoidance will determine outcome. The cleaner recent arc nudges Buffalo as a small favorite, though the game projects tight and close.
Ranges above are a house opinion derived from supplied trends only and are not actual sportsbook lines or guarantees.

Edge Meter

Offense 6/10

Buffalo's upward recent form and head to head direction create a clearer offensive edge over Miami's flat offense.

Defense 5/10

Both defenses trend flat and pedigree is similar, so matchup execution will matter more than unit strength.

Special Teams 4/10

No supplied facts point to a special teams advantage and the neutral venue reduces swings there.

Coaching 6/10

Recent form for Buffalo combined with broader organizational consistency suggests a modest coaching edge.

Key Mismatches

  • Recent form versus franchise baseline
    Buffalo's upward run contrasts with Miami's flat recent work, creating a gap not matched by pedigree alone.
  • Neutral venue and scoring shape
    No home edge and a moderate head to head scoring profile mean volume swings are unlikely to settle the game.
  • Execution factors outweigh raw units
    With both defenses and offenses trending flat in places, red zone work and mistake avoidance will swing the margin.

Trend Callouts

Buffalo carries clearer recent form while both teams share medium long term pedigree Head to head meetings point to a moderate scoring environment rather than a shootout or slog Neutral home edge keeps the matchup focused on execution and situational conversion

Head-to-Head Record (All Time)

MIA
Dolphins
61
Wins
1
Ties
BUF
Bills
56
Wins

Average Scores

Bills vs Dolphins

Dolphins 21.1 PPG
Bills 20.8 PPG

Home Field Advantage

Bills vs Dolphins

Dolphins at Home 35-24
59% Win Rate
Bills at Home 33-26
56% Win Rate

Highest Scoring Game

Bills vs Dolphins

82 Total Points
Jan 03, 2021
Dolphins 26 - 56 Bills

Last Meeting

Bills vs Dolphins

Nov 03, 2024
Dolphins 27 - 30 Bills
Bills Won

Recent Meetings (Last 5)

Nov 03, 2024
BUF W
Dolphins 27
@
Bills 30
Sep 12, 2024
BUF W
Dolphins 10
@
Bills 31
Jan 07, 2024
BUF W
Dolphins 14
@
Bills 21
Oct 01, 2023
BUF W
Dolphins 20
@
Bills 48
Dec 17, 2022
BUF W
Dolphins 29
@
Bills 32

Upcoming Games for Dolphins

Sep 29, 2025
vs Jets
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
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Oct 05, 2025
@ Panthers
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
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Oct 12, 2025
vs Chargers
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
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View Dolphins Team Page

Upcoming Games for Bills

Sep 28, 2025
vs Saints
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
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Oct 06, 2025
vs Patriots
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
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Oct 13, 2025
@ Falcons
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
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View Bills Team Page

Historical Performance (All-Time Stats)

MIA

Dolphins

All-time performance

ALL-TIME WIN % 59 Seasons
55%
504-408-4
PLAYOFF SEASONS 59 total
25
42% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS Last: 1973
2
1972, 1973
RECENT FORM Last 5 years
56%
47-37-0
BUF

Bills

All-time performance

ALL-TIME WIN % 65 Seasons
49%
486-505-8
PLAYOFF SEASONS 65 total
24
37% of seasons
CHAMPIONSHIPS Last: 1965
2
1964, 1965
RECENT FORM Last 5 years
74%
61-22-0
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